ASD Sambiase vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 0
ASD
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
FCS
48%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 2
GEL
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
ASD
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
5 - 1
ACP
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 0
GEL
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
USV
1 - 2
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LIC
2 - 2
ACP
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
LIC
23%
22%
54%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LIC
0 - 1
COM
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |