ASD Sambiase vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
MES
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ACP
5 - 0
ASD
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
ASD
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
ASD
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 0
NIS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACR
0 - 1
LIC
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LIC
1 - 1
NUV
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 2
LIC
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LIC
2 - 1
ACS
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |