ASD Sambiase vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
ASD
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
AGR
1 - 0
ASD
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 0
ASD
34%
28%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
NIS
56%
23%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CIT
3 - 0
GEL
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 1
USV
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
CIT
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CIT
3 - 0
COM
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
CIT
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |