Rotonda vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROT
83%
13%
4%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 0
ROC
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
ROT
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 3
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MES
1 - 2
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 0
MES
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MES
2 - 1
NOC
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
MES
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MES
3 - 2
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |