Real Metapontino vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
ARM
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
MAT
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GEL
0 - 0
ARM
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 0
GLA
27%
24%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 2
ARM
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TAR
3 - 1
REA
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
TAR
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 1
MON
67%
22%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 1
TAR
19%
25%
55%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEL
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |