Real Metapontino vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
TAR
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
ARM
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
MAT
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GEL
0 - 0
ARM
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
2 - 0
GLA
27%
24%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 2
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POT
0 - 3
NAR
31%
28%
41%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
2 - 1
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TAR
4 - 1
NAR
74%
19%
7%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAR
0 - 1
USF
17%
22%
61%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |