Real Metapontino vs Grottaglie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Metapontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PUT
1 - 0
ARM
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
SSE
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
ARM
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 1
TUR
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BIS
2 - 1
ARM
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grottaglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
REA
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
TAR
12%
21%
67%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
GRO
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
MAT
22%
25%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GEL
0 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |