Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Sant'Elpidio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 2
PIN
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
SEL
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SEL
0 - 2
AVE
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UST
2 - 1
SEL
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 0
JES
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
UST
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 1
MAT
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 2
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 2
MAT
19%
24%
56%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MAT
3 - 0
VAS
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |