ASD Pontevecchio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 4
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
SSD
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 2
ASD
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 1
SCA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASD
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 4
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
SSD
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 2
SSD
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 3
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |