ASD Pontevecchio vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 2
ASD
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 1
SCA
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASD
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
ASD
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
ARZ
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ORV
1 - 2
SSD
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SSD
2 - 3
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 2
SSD
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SSD
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |