ASD Pontevecchio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PIA
6 - 1
ASD
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 2
FIE
36%
26%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CAS
4 - 2
ASD
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 1
JMO
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 0
ARZ
12%
21%
68%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 1
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
FOL
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FOL
4 - 2
ANC
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
OST
0 - 1
FOL
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
USP
2 - 1
FOL
40%
26%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |