ASD Pontevecchio vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MON
3 - 2
ASD
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ASD
2 - 0
MPO
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +4 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SGP
1 - 1
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASD
0 - 4
ASL
17%
26%
57%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RIE
0 - 1
ASD
75%
17%
9%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
DER
1 - 1
PON
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MAS
1 - 2
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
DER
4 - 1
GSA
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 1
DER
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DER
3 - 1
ASC
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |