OltrepòVoghera vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 1
ASD
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
FAN
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 4
USC
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
VAR
20%
22%
58%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 3
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 2
AXY
82%
12%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 0
COM
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +4 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FAN
1 - 2
PAV
23%
20%
56%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
INV
1 - 3
PAV
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASD
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |