OltrepòVoghera vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASD
77%
15%
7%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ARC
1 - 1
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 2
PRO
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
ASD
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
ASD
19%
21%
61%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 2
INV
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAV
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 0
BOR
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |