Molfetta Calcio vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ASF
0 - 0
MOL
67%
18%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 3
HYR
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 1
ASD
58%
21%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOC
2 - 0
MOL
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
ROT
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 1
ROT
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 2
NAR
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SOR
3 - 0
VIR
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
FCF
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
VIR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |