Molfetta Calcio vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 2
MOL
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 0
FBC
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ASF
0 - 0
MOL
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
RAA
4 - 1
MOL
24%
22%
54%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
FCF
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FIA
0 - 0
NAR
41%
27%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 1
ASD
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
POR
6 - 1
NAR
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NAR
0 - 1
TAR
26%
28%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |