Molfetta Calcio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
VIG
1 - 3
MOL
20%
21%
60%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRI
81%
12%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
TAR
3 - 2
LEC
39%
23%
39%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |