Molfetta Calcio vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
17º
15º
44
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
66% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 0
MOL
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 2
PUT
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SSB
1 - 0
MOL
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOL
3 - 4
MAT
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 0
USB
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ASF
1 - 0
GLA
56%
22%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NAR
0 - 0
ASF
40%
24%
37%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PUT
1 - 1
ASF
19%
19%
62%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ASF
4 - 1
LAV
59%
20%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ASF
2 - 1
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |