Molfetta Calcio vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MOL
1 - 0
LAV
30%
22%
49%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LAV
1 - 1
MOL
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MOL
2 - 2
ASD
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
POR
4 - 2
MOL
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 2
FIA
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AUD
2 - 0
HYR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 1
ASF
75%
16%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 1
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TAR
4 - 2
AUD
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 0
ASF
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |