Molfetta Calcio vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Molfetta Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
USB
2 - 1
MOL
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
LAV
5 - 2
MOL
51%
21%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MOL
3 - 0
FCF
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ANC
8 - 1
MOL
35%
22%
42%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -4 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
MOL
2 - 1
USF
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 1
FCF
83%
12%
6%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
FIA
0 - 0
AUD
17%
26%
57%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 2
ASD
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GEL
2 - 1
AUD
13%
23%
64%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AUD
4 - 2
SOR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |