ASD HinterReggio vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MES
3 - 2
ASD
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 3
NUO
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 0
ASD
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 4
ASD
38%
26%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACP
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACI
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |