ASD HinterReggio vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
TUR
2 - 1
ASD
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 1
HYR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASD
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ASD
0 - 0
FOR
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
ASD
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
ASD
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
TUR
4 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
HYR
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
22%
22%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |