ASD HinterReggio vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
ASD
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
ASD
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
BOR
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASD
15%
24%
61%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 1
ARZ
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
FON
52%
26%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
LAQ
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 2
PON
15%
23%
62%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 3
LAQ
84%
12%
4%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |