ASD HinterReggio vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
ASD
45%
27%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
USP
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
ASD
67%
21%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASD
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 1
APR
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PON
1 - 2
ASM
73%
18%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 0
SAL
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ASM
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |