ASD HinterReggio vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD HinterReggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
ASD
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
BOR
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASD
15%
24%
61%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACR
2 - 0
ASD
25%
25%
49%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -4 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 2
NIS
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
LAQ
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 3
APR
66%
21%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
APR
5 - 1
ARZ
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 1
APR
34%
26%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |