Matese vs Fiuggi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
OLY
0 - 4
MAT
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiuggi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 1
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 4
CAT
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GIU
1 - 0
SFF
22%
24%
55%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFF
1 - 0
OLY
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
SFF
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |