Matese vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 3
MAT
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
3 - 1
VAS
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NER
0 - 0
MAT
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MAT
2 - 2
TRA
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 1
POR
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
0 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
FAN
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
1 - 1
POR
38%
24%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
FAN
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 0
FAN
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |