ASD Cecina vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Cecina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAR
4 - 0
ASC
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACP
2 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MON
2 - 1
SPA
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ASG
3 - 0
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
ACS
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VIN
2 - 1
MON
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |