ASD Cecina vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
56.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Cecina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ORV
1 - 0
ASC
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 0
SGP
65%
20%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
RIE
1 - 1
ASC
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ASC
2 - 2
ASD
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACS
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
4 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SCA
1 - 3
ASL
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MPO
0 - 2
ASL
20%
27%
53%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |