ASD Cecina vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Cecina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
3 - 2
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
USR
0 - 0
ASC
38%
25%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 0
PON
31%
25%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASC
3 - 1
ORV
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SGP
2 - 0
ASC
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 4
CAR
17%
23%
61%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
CSP
3 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
PIS
17%
25%
58%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOR
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |