Carbonia vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carbonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARZ
51%
22%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 0
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
TNF
46%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOC
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
AFR
1 - 1
MON
12%
22%
66%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIS
2 - 3
AFR
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
AFR
1 - 2
LAT
12%
16%
72%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 2
AFR
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
TNF
0 - 0
AFR
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |