Biancavilla vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biancavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BIA
2 - 0
ACC
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BIA
2 - 2
CIT
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LIC
3 - 0
BIA
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
BIA
92%
7%
1%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
BIA
1 - 0
ROC
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 3
ACI
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
SSC
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
HYR
1 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
PAL
4%
17%
79%
|
35 | 76 | 41 | -1 |