Biancavilla vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biancavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
BIA
0 - 1
REN
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
BIA
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BIA
0 - 1
CIT
36%
23%
42%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 2
BIA
78%
15%
6%
|
29 | 62 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 2
PAT
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
GEL
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
ACI
55%
23%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CIT
7 - 1
ROC
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CIT
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |