Ascona vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 3
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
BRU
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GOL
3 - 3
ASC
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 2
HOC
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 1
FCA
48%
22%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
3 - 1
TAV
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TAV
1 - 0
ESC
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MEN
3 - 2
TAV
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
TAV
2 - 0
CHI
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
TAV
2 - 0
PER
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |