Ascona vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
ASC
56%
22%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 2
HER
21%
20%
58%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAV
0 - 3
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 0
HOC
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUG
49%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |