Ascona vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 2
ASC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
TAV
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
ASC
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HOC
3 - 1
ASC
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
VED
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 3
LUG
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
ZOF
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 0
LUG
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
IBA
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |