Ascona vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MEN
5 - 1
ASC
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
3 - 2
PER
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IBA
1 - 2
ASC
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 2
ASC
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
LUZ
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LUZ
1 - 0
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EMM
2 - 3
LUZ
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LUZ
0 - 2
TAV
19%
21%
59%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 1
LUZ
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |