Ascona vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LUG
4 - 1
ASC
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 0
ASC
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ASC
3 - 0
PER
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
IBA
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 2
ZOF
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GOL
1 - 2
IBA
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
IBA
1 - 1
CAS
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |