Ascona vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GOL
0 - 1
ASC
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 2
ESC
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 6
ASC
57%
20%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HER
2 - 2
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
IBA
1 - 3
EMM
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOC
0 - 5
IBA
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUN
3 - 0
IBA
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
IBA
1 - 2
GOL
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 0
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |