Ascona vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 2
ASC
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
4 - 3
EMM
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 5
ASC
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 3
TAV
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 3
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
EMM
2 - 1
HER
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
TAV
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 4
HER
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
ESC
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 2
HER
60%
21%
20%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |