Ascona vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TAV
0 - 3
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAR
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
ASC
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
HOC
0 - 1
ASC
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 2
ASC
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HER
7 - 0
NOV
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
2 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
HER
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |