Ascona vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
TAV
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
ASC
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HOC
3 - 1
ASC
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
KUS
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 0
HER
39%
21%
40%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HER
2 - 4
BRU
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HER
1 - 0
VED
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
SAR
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
HER
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |