Ascona vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
IBA
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
GUN
2 - 1
ASC
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ASC
7 - 3
FCA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
BUO
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
EMM
2 - 4
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |