Ascona vs Gunzwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ASC
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ASC
6 - 2
BUO
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TAV
0 - 2
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 3
RUS
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
GUN
4 - 0
ASC
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Gunzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUN
2 - 1
SAR
44%
23%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
GUN
4 - 2
RUS
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
GUN
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GUN
4 - 0
GCB
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
GUN
4 - 0
ASC
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |