Ascona vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 2
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 2
ASC
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
TAV
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 5
VED
91%
6%
3%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 4
GOL
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GOL
3 - 3
ZOF
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
GOL
16%
17%
67%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 2
GOL
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |