Ascona vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 2
BUO
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 0
EMM
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 0
FCA
78%
14%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 1
FCA
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 0
RUS
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 2
GOL
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |