Ascona vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
14º
16º
14º
37
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RSZ
1 - 0
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
ZUG
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASC
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRU
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 1
BUO
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
4 - 1
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
SCE
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
BUO
35%
21%
44%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUO
1 - 1
LOC
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |