Ascona vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 0
VED
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
ASC
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 0
ZOF
24%
22%
55%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GOL
1 - 1
ASC
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 3
IBA
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUG
18%
20%
61%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 4
LUZ
13%
17%
71%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
VED
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
TAV
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 0
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |