Ascoli vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
ASC
39%
30%
31%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
ASC
0 - 0
EMP
69%
19%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 0
USC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
PES
0 - 1
ASC
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 1
TRI
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
39%
34%
28%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
SSS
55%
29%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
CAM
45%
33%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |