Ascoli vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
JUS
2 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 3
ASC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 2
VER
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 1
SAS
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SAS
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
SAM
22%
29%
49%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOR
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ABN
1 - 3
SAM
28%
28%
45%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |